Day-to-Day Killings in the nation Drop Thirty-Seven Percent Under Claudia Sheinbaum, As per Official Data

The typical figure of everyday homicides each month in the country has fallen by 37% since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum assumed power, per recent government statistics. But, security analysts have advised that homicide figures could fail to indicate improved national stability.

Notable Decline in Per-Day Averages

Officials reported an mean of almost 55 murders a day in last November as opposed to nearly 87 when Sheinbaum began the leadership in September of last year. This data was provided by the director of the country’s national safety agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular news conference on Tuesday.

“The figures in murders that we have seen during these months is very important,” Claudia Sheinbaum stated, adding that last month the smallest amount of homicides were recorded for any November in the last 10 years.

Recent Background and Official Strategy

Violent organized crime rivalries, coupled with the government’s highly military efforts to combat the trafficking organizations, have made Mexico’s murder numbers soar in recent years. The rate hit a maximum of 36,773 homicides in 2020, per the nation's national statistics agency.

That gave Mexico a homicide figure more than 4x higher than the United States. However, murders have been on the decline, dropping to 33,550 last year. Claudia Sheinbaum has attributed her public safety strategy for an ostensibly sharper decline in homicides this year.

At a media briefing in August, the head of state declared: “We have a strategy, there is tracking of the strategy, and there is specific tracking locality by locality in certain cases. The strategy functions. And we have to keep working at it each day.”

The main pillars of the President's security strategy encompass:

• Bolstering Mexico’s national guard.
• Enhancing information gathering and investigative efforts.
• Enhanced collaboration between government agencies.

Analyst Skepticism and Data Concerns

Nevertheless, public safety researchers urged caution that using homicide numbers to paint a picture of improved security was flawed. This is notably true considering the increase in different crimes such as people going missing.

“That would be positive information if this was a decrease, but I think we can’t just concentrate on the murder numbers and conclude: ‘Well then, excellent,’” commented Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexican organised crime. “I would be tentatively positive.”

As reported by the public policy research thinktank Mexico Evalúa, murders overall declined by over 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year versus the identical timeframe the previous year. However, disappearances have increased by 15% and in some states have risen by up to 200%.

“Data on homicides is no longer valid for assessing the reality of insecurity,” said Armando Vargas, a safety analyst at Mexico Evalúa. “Firstly, we have police and investigators who lack the resources or the desire to correctly identify and classify bodies. Secondly, organized [criminals] … have the ability to hide violence through abductions.”

Vargas pointed out that using month-to-month means of daily homicides was additionally problematic because it could hide periods when there were notably spiking levels of killings.

“Using the per-day mean renders surges of violent crime invisible,” he said.

Arrests and Confiscations as Measures of Progress

An area where the administration can point to the success of its security plan is on detentions and confiscations. Nearly 40,000 people were arrested between last October and November 2025 for major crimes, according to government figures. Over 20,000 guns were confiscated and 311 tonnes of narcotics intercepted.

“Trump can't accuse President Sheinbaum of inaction, because actually she is accomplishing a lot with these thousands of detentions, many thousands of seizures, and all the operational degrading of criminal groups. It’s very politically beneficial,” said Vargas.

Ongoing Violence and Public Frustration

But despite these measures, Mexico remains beset by high violence, with several states in the throes of cartel-fueled violence. Last month there was a notable killing of a popular local official in the state of Michoacan, among 10 mayors murdered in the last 12 months.

A short time later, many thousands of youth protested in Mexico City and across the country to express their anger at corruption and narco-violence.

“The federal government frames [data] in a way to build a narrative of improvement. From a political standpoint it’s extremely potent, from a social perspective it’s extremely problematic,” Vargas concluded.